Economy Stress Watch
Plain-English view of 11 warning signs for the US economy and stock market. Snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026.
Educational only. Not financial advice. This page does not tell you what to buy or sell. No indicator predicts the future, and markets can fall or rise whatever these signals show. For personal decisions, talk to a licensed advisor.
0Danger
0Warning
0Clear
How to read it: Green means no warning, amber means watch it, red means it has reached a level that has historically come before trouble. Several reds at once matter more than one. You can type your own numbers into any box to test them; they stay only in your browser.
Thresholds marked * are rules of thumb, not official cutoffs. Most values update automatically from FRED; CAPE and margin debt are updated by hand. Click an indicator name to open its free public source (FRED, FINRA, multpl.com).
This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.